I’ve played around with the stats category a bit. Previously I took what milb.com provided and plugged the numbers into my own spreadsheet with hacked formulas for advanced stats such as wOBA and WRC+. They were a bit hacky as milb.com doesn’t provide all the necessary inputs for certain formulas so concessions needed to be made. Fortunately, I’ve discovered databases out there (isn’t the internet wonderful) that do all the data mining for you and all you have to do is pick out the end results you want. So for, hitters I’ve added in advanced stats, ranking them by wOBA and for pitchers I’m ranking by FIP. These aren’t arbitrary statistical measures but neither are they the only important ones. There are other numbers available and sometimes I’ll focus on these, if it so pleases me, which for a certain Big Bopper Balbino, it does, as per below.
For my first two entries, both the hitters and pitchers categories are led by Matt Johnson. I’m guessing this is the first and last time both categories will be led by the same person, so as the stars align, let’s celebrate Matt Johnson, a 24 year old former second basement who was surely on the path to organizational filler status (or more probably released status), who came in to a blowout and struck out 2 of the 3 hitters he faced. After another side session, the powers that be, decided Johnson was better served to the organization as a pitcher. Here’s hoping we have another Sergio Santos on our hands. Except, of course, we keep this one from the start, and he doesn’t get injured for the season.
Unfortunately, Matt, like the rest of the C’s are afflicted with small sample size syndrome. Speaking of which, the pissed up fellas at Drunk Jays Fans have finally decided that the mlb season has provided a large enough sample size 81 games in, and have written an excellent article on the current and potential future state of the Jays lineup. As the C’s only play a short season, it is difficult to gauge when we can remove the small sample size tag. So for now, we’ll pick and choose which numbers suit our needs.
On the pitching side of things, there are plenty of good ERAs and FIPs, but these stats are a bit skewed so early in the season. What interests me at the moment is the K/BB ratios. Unfortunately, these numbers are not as good, with Taylor Cole being the only C with a ratio of 3 or above. As I mentioned in a previous post, Taylor is an interesting prospect as his baseball experience is actually younger than his age. His peripherals this season have been pretty good, but what is also interesting is his bad luck so far with BABIP. If that figures regresses back to the mean, we could see an even better set of numbers, and a possible promotion in Cole’s future.
For the hitters, there are 5 C’s with wOBA’s over .400 which is considered pretty good. Of those 5, I’m going to disregard Matt Johnson (as he’s now a pitcher) and both Jorge Flores and Derrick Chung who’s plate appearances are miniscule. That leaves us Dalton Pompey and Balbino Fuenmayor, which seems to be bit of a theme in my posts so far this season. We know how I feel about Dalton so we know I’m somewhat biased, but if you look at Balbino’s peripherals, he’s looking more and more like a man that is rapidly heading towards organizational filler status. Despite his gaudy counting stats, the Big Bopper’s 2.8% walk rate is scary bad. Combine that with a 32% K rate and it seems he may not recognise secondary pitches, something I noticed when seeing him live. That, combined with his unnaturally high BABIP, makes the odds on a promotion not great. I’m still willing to change my mind with more live viewings, but this is Balbino’s 6th year in pro ball. If he hasn’t figured it out yet…..maybe he should see what he can hit on the radar gun.