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Third Time Lucky for Roberto Osuna?

Toronto Blue Jays prospect (and my personal off-season pet project) Roberto Osuna made his third appearance Monday (the 20th) in the prospect showcase that is the Arizona Fall League.  And, without too much preamble, let’s just say I jinxed him.  This tweet was sent out after his second inning of work:

Of course, it was the third inning where Osuna’s night went off the rails, and writing about it has obviously sent me off the rails as I’m very late with this post.  So late, in fact, that Bobby O has made his fourth appearance in between my opening paragraph and now.

In the interests of saving me the time (most likely extended once again) and effort of another post, let’s just combine the two.

Both appearances were slated to go three innings, however, as mentioned above, the four hitters Osuna faced in the 5th inning on the 20th of October went BB, double, single, single…..and that was the end of that.  With that, let’s take a look at the real stats:

Osuna AFL FIP IP H HR ER HBP BB SO WHIP FIP SO/9 SO:BB BB/9
Oct 9 vs SRR 1.333 6 1 6 0 1 2 5.25 12.76 13.50 2.00 6.75
Oct 14 vs SS 1 3 0 2 0 1 1 4.00 4.76 9.00 1.00 9.00
Oct 20 vs SS 2 4 0 2 0 2 2 3.00 4.76 9.00 1.00 9.00
Oct 25 vs SS 3 2 0 0 0 0 2 0.67 2.43 6.00 n/a 0.00
Totals 7.33 15 1 10 0 4 7 2.59 5.26 8.59 1.75 4.91

Of course, if we were to eliminate (another Charlie Caskey creative accounting trick) those four hitters, we’re looking at 5 shutout innings with 0 earned runs, 3 hits, 1 walk and a FIP below 3.

Despite fact the CCCA method doesn’t apply in the real world, one conclusion we can draw from the past two outings is that things are getting better for Roberto.  And that’s all we can ask for.

Well, that, and an AFL all-star appearance, which, oddly, is going to happen.  Makes you wonder if teams were picked based on the October 25 games only — reason I say that is that Dalton Pompey made the team as well, after going 4 for 6 on the day with 2 doubles.  Those 4 hits are basically a third of his AFL totals.  Odd decision making.

Apologies for the lack of imagination when it came to shortening the team names in the above table.  I didn’t realize most of the teams were going to be so keen to be alliterative with their monikers.  Osuna’s last two appearances have been against the Surprise Saguaros  As we’re dealing with basically the same roster, I’ve just listed all hitters he faced below with their results in a reasonable order.  The outing on the 25th was ‘taxi squad’ day so the quality of the roster does go down a notch.  That being said, the Sags have some of the best hitters in Arizona.

Batter Result Age Parent 2014 Level BA Prospect? MLB.com
Kyle Waldrop K|1B| 22 CIN A+/AA NR NR
Patrick Kivlehan 1B|1B|F8 24 SEA A+/AA 12 6 (19)
Jesse Winker F6|F7 21 CIN A+/AA 4 2 (4)
D.J. Peterson* F8 22 SEA A+/AA 2 2 (2)
Hunter Renfroe** BB|5-3 22 SDP A+/AA 4 4 (4)
John Hicks K 25 SEA AA/AAA 23 NR
Michael De Leon DP 17!! TEX A N/A NR
Jace Peterson*** BB|4-6 23 SDP AA/AAA 7 NR
Nick Williams**** 2B|1B 21 TEX A+/AA 3 4 (6)
Sean Coyle K|1-3 22 BOS AA 30 13
Seth Mejias-Brean 6-3 23 CIN A+/AA 21 NR
Deven Marrero 1B 24 BOS AA/AAA 15 10
Luke Maile K 23 TBR AA NR NR
*Pre-2014 Top 100s – BA #85, MLB #88, BP #65
**Pre-2014 Top 100s – BA #80
***Played 27 games for Padres in 2014
****Pre-2014 Top 100s – BA #97, BP #88

As three of the mlb clubs that provide players to the Saguaros also have affiliates in the Northwest League I had been looking forward to writing this post.  Theoretically I would have seen at least a couple of the combatants live at the Nat.

Not only did that prove true but the three I remember the most are also pretty highly ranked across the board as indicated above.

I know I  made a lot about Franklin Barreto‘s fantastic 2014 but Hunter Renfroe is probably the best player I’ve seen in my three years covering the C’s.  It seemed like every game at the Nat featured at least two knocks (I checked the game logs, seems my memory isn’t great) from the Padres 2013 1st rounder with at least one of them being for extra bases.  He also flashed a cannon from right field.

After a late season promotion to the Midwest League in his first pro season, Renfroe tore up the California League (a notorious hitters circuit) before earning half a season in AA, where things weren’t quite so rosy.  Still, despite a needing to improve his recognition of offspeed offerings, the scouts are still high on Renfroe’s future.

I’d written another 700 or so words on Patrick Kivlehan and D.J. Peterson but wordpress failed to save it for me and now I’m fucked.  Excuse the language, but that is rather annoying.

My daughter is waking up so will endeavour to finish this post with both those two at a later date.

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