As you may have noticed by my lack of posts, it’s been all Bobby O for me this Arizona Fall League season. I do have some other ideas percolating but those are currently on the back burner while Osuna finishes up his AFL stint (which he did yesterday versus the Saguaros) and I try and get some other ‘real-life’ things sorted out.
After the tough start — Roberto got lit up for eight runs on nine hits over his first two and a third innings pitched — all we could ask for was improvement. Similar to Aaron Sanchez in 2013. Well, aside from one blow up inning against a very good Surprise team, the Mexican right-hander has delivered.
If you include his all-star game appearance Roberto has gone five and two thirds innings pitched, giving up zero earned, with five whiffs to zero walks (which, incidentally, blows up my excel spreadsheet when trying to calculate K/BB ratio) over his last three outings.
Last Tuesday Osuna had the chance to make up for the shellacking the Salt River Rafters laid on him during his first AFL appearance.
And he did just that:
|Osuna AFL FIP||IP||H||HR||ER||HBP||BB||SO||WHIP||FIP||SO/9||SO:BB||BB/9|
|Oct 9 vs SRR||1.33||6||1||6||0||1||2||5.25||12.76||13.50||2.00||6.75|
|Oct 14 vs SS||1||3||0||2||0||1||1||4.00||4.76||9.00||1.00||9.00|
|Oct 20 vs SS||2||4||0||2||0||2||2||3.00||4.76||9.00||1.00||9.00|
|Oct 25 vs SS||3||2||0||0||0||0||2||0.67||2.43||6.00||2.00||0.00|
|Nov 4 vs SRR||2||2||0||0||0||0||3||1||0.76||13.5||3.00||0.00|
Now, if you’ve been keeping up with this series (and as illustrated by the above table) Osuna has only faced three of the five other teams in the AFL. Of those three, I’d say Salt River has the least amount of genuine prospect capital. That’s not to say they don’t possess good hitters, just not ones that get prospect hounds salivating.
|Batter||Result||Age||Parent||2014 Level||BA pre-2014||mlb.com|
|Max Kepler||K||21||MIN||A+||11||19 (15)|
|Trevor Story*||K||21||COL||A+/AA||9||11 (10)|
|Peter O’Brien||2B||24||ARI||AA||23**||7 (NR)|
|Rio Ruiz||K||20||HOU||A+||11||9 (11)|
|Brandon Drury||3(U)||22||ARI||A+/AA||10||6 (8)|
|*Pre-2013 Top 100s – BA #96, MLB #99, BP #34|
|**Ranking was as a member of NYY. Was traded to Arizona in Martin Prado deal.|
As usual, the BA pre-2014 column is based on Baseball America’s individual team rankings prior to the 2014 season. The mlb.com column is from their mid-season team rankings with pre-season ratings in parenthesis.
Of the lineup Osuna faced on the 4th, only Trevor Story, a shortstop in the Rockies system, has drunk the heady air of top 100 prospect heights. Unfortunately for this exercise, that was prior to the 2013 season when he was coming off 138 wRC+ as a 19 year old in the Sally League.
Things kind of went off the rails in 2013 though when he collapsed in the notoriously hitter friendly California league, posting a below average 83 wRC+. Last season saw some improvements as Story slashed .332/.436/.582 while playing another 50 games in California. A .467 BABIP raised some red flags though and, sure enough, once the promotion to AA came through, Story struggled. OPS’ing a measly .682. Kiley McDaniel of fangraphs.com gives a brief rundown here.
I don’t think he’ll be returning to anyone’s top 100 list this off-season.
Nor will anyone else in the table above but as mentioned, that’s not to say Bobby O wasn’t facing decent hitters. Both Joe Sclafani and Andrew Aplin are older, professional hitters who put up some decent numbers with triple-A Oklahoma City.
While Peter O’Brien has some serious raw power, ISO’ing .310 over 72 games with the Yankees AA affiliate before the trade which sent him to Arizona. Another five home runs (so far) in Arizona sees him continue that trend, putting up a .525 slugging percentage in his 80 at bats.
No matter the competition it’s just great to see Osuna settling down and showing that he can hang with this caliber of hitter. Everything you read said the stuff was there, he was just catching a bit too much of the plate.
Given fact Roberto has given up a mere four hits over last five innings pitched with five strikeouts and zero walks I’d say the necessary adjustments have been made.
Makes me feel all warm and fuzzy inside.